The Probable Climate Scenarios of 2023 and 2024 in Kenya

The vagaries of drought felt frequently in Kenya in the recent times is as a result of cumulative rainfall deficits for many years. In the last 20 years, we’ve had more failed rainfall seasons than is the normal. At the same time, there  have been cases of rainfall seasons with intense rainfall episodes generating enormous rainfall amounts, however, the amounts do not seem to counteract the effects of the rainfall deficits. In 2022 alone, we saw signs of a serious hydrological and ecological drought in many places and that caused a lot of anxiety and concern to the people and the government.